
We are getting fewer and we are getting older. This is the basic tenor of demographic change. Aging affects everyone, but the decrease in the population is distributed quite unevenly. This is confirmed by the calculations of the State Office for Statistics published last week.
According to these, the number of inhabitants in Upper Bavaria is expected to increase by as much as 6.5 percent over the next 20 years, while Upper Franconia will bring up the rear in Bavaria and lose almost a tenth of its population (9.3 percent). But even this statement is still very sweeping. If one compares the calculations of the State Statistical Office or the forecasts of various institutes, it becomes clear that even within Upper Franconia the range is quite large.
The city of Bamberg, for example, is even predicted to have a growth potential of almost two percent by the year 2030. And a minus of three percent for the district of Bamberg is still the second best value in the administrative district. Compared to the impending population losses of, for example, 10.2 percent (entire administrative district), 10.9 percent (Bayreuth district), 16.8 percent (Kronach district) or even 20.2 percent (Wunsiedel district), this is an almost stable situation.